Comments on: Why The Tories Won’t Win Here

By: David Nikel

David Nikel — Wed, 01 Jul 2009 17:32:39 +0000

I make no predictions!

By: Dominic Fisher

Dominic Fisher — Wed, 01 Jul 2009 06:32:05 +0000

I knew you’d check that.

You said that the author of Ladywoodblue claims the Conservatives could take Ladywood at the next local election (although I missed that claim in the blogpost). I would be the first to admit it’s a long shot, but are you categorically saying that the Tories can’t win Ladywood ward?

By: David Nikel

David Nikel — Wed, 01 Jul 2009 04:35:43 +0000

Don’t worry Dominic, the porridge was crap anyway. We all know stats can be twisted this way or that. If your percentage goes up, but your actuals go down, that’s not always a good long-term thing.

By the way, interesting to note you have exactly the same IP address as “Lady” GaGa

By: Dominic Fisher

Dominic Fisher — Tue, 30 Jun 2009 23:18:46 +0000

Not wishing to spoil your porridge, but here’s a few salient points. Firstly, the pie chart is based on bare facts. Its not a Focus leaflet – there’s no ‘playing’ involved. Secondly, from an electoral point of view, the gap between first place and second place halved and we (the Tories) are in second place just 350 or so votes behind Labour. Who cares about the also rans? By your logic, UKIP are heading for victory! Thirdly, European elections showed a national showing for the Tories of 27% v 40%+ in the last set of locals which suggests that our result in Ladywood was above par. I happen to have detailed poll data by box. Of the 13, I have you beating us in a solitary box.

Keep telling yourself that we are doing nothing in Ladywood.

By: Lady Gaga

Lady Gaga — Tue, 30 Jun 2009 22:29:30 +0000

It’s not a he. tut tut.

By: Gareth

Gareth — Tue, 30 Jun 2009 20:21:13 +0000

That article made me giggle. I think the 2010 elections are going to be fun!